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Castle Estimator

CASTLE ESTIMATOR

Estimate the army behind an anti-scout

Use a controlled solo attack. Record the target’s kills before and after impact, then enter the exact attacking army and known or assumed reinforcement size.

Attack losses recorded9,66096.6% of the march
Attack survivors340March size minus recorded losses
Estimated castle army5,682,353Based on 200,000 assumed reinforcements
Assumed reinforcementEstimated castle army
100,0002,841,176
150,0004,261,765
200,0005,682,353
250,0007,102,941
300,0008,523,529

What 200,000 means: It is a starting assumption for incoming allied troops. It is neither a minimum nor a count of the castle’s own troops. The model multiplies reinforcements by attack losses divided by survivors. Doubling the assumption doubles the estimate; without a positive reinforcement count, the losses alone cannot tell you the castle’s army size.

Test on your own castle: Record your defending troop count and have a teammate make a controlled solo hit. With zero reinforcements, check the losses and survivors against the report. To test the army estimate, repeat with a known positive reinforcement count and compare the estimate with your recorded defending troop count. Keep other fights from changing your kill count between readings.

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